Research index
183 cited research blocks. Each is a readable on-site page (rendered from its .md) and links to its structured data (.json, with every source URL) on GitHub. Generated 2026-06-11.
AI financial core (13)
The AI-capex depreciation & duration-mismatch trap: useful-life as the fifth self-marked number (Burry, Oracle FY2026, justdario)
~7 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
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The efficiency counter-thesis — DeepSeek, Jevons, and China's domestic AI stack (the strongest honest challenge to the AI-capex bubble case)
~7 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
~7 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
The AI Neocloud + Stargate Debt & Capacity-Commitment Circularity
~43 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
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Disney <-> OpenAI / Sora: funding edge (rescinded) + IP-liability overhang
~10 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
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The Second Ring of the AI Funding Web: Google / Amazon / Anthropic / Meta / Custom Silicon
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Gulf sovereign AI capital — MGX/G42, PIF/HUMAIN, QIA: the external-capital injection that keeps the circular loop solvent (and the China-exclusion price of chips)
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Hedera (HBAR) connection map - enterprise-council overlaps with the corpus, the SEALCOIN/WISeKey bridge, real adoption vs token-value accrual
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Meta / Facebook family - consolidated AI-cluster node (Scale AI, Superintelligence Labs, Hyperion, nuclear, MTIA)
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The NVIDIA <-> OpenAI Circular-Funding Web
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OpenAI's for-profit conversion & the $1.4T-vs-$25B gap — the engine of the circular core
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SEALSQ / WISeKey global build-out - multi-country government-subsidized PQC/quantum/space/crypto footprint (the narrative-stack matures into a real-estate map)
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SpaceX / SPCX IPO + cancelable AI-compute deals (Google, Anthropic)
~13 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
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Digital ID & age verification (6)
Digital Identity / Age-Assurance × AI-Capex Cluster: Overlap Investigation
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Device-ownership erosion to OS-bound identity - right-to-repair, Windows 'Mac-ification', the Windows 10 forced cutover, AI-native OS lock-in, and the catch that ZK age-proofs still require PII at enrollment
~0 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
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The orchestration layer behind Western digital-ID + surveillance expansion - and the real structural incentive (graded)
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Digital ID at the OS / app-store / hardware layer - the device-attestation enforcement chokepoint (eIDAS EUDI wallet, Google Play Integrity, Apple Declared Age Range, secure elements)
~0 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
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Global Digital Identity + Age Verification / Age Assurance Regulatory Wave (2023-2026)
~54 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
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Proof-of-personhood to programmable identity: Worldcoin/World, eIDAS 2.0 EUDI wallets, the Digital Euro, EU Chat Control, and the UK Online Safety Act
~10 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
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Geopolitics & strategic geography (8)
Allied intel & strategic-geography nodes — Australia, South Korea, Japan, Singapore, Hong Kong, Greenland & the Arctic
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The physical information layer — undersea cables (sabotage + repair shortage) and the space/ISR layer (Starshield/NRO concentration)
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The two-sided chip-chokepoint war — Western equipment (ASML/Zeiss/Japan) vs China's materials leverage
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Contested resource states — Venezuela, Greenland, Argentina, Iran across materials, military, capital & surveillance
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The defense-industrial base — arsenal depletion, the China materials chokepoint on weapons, and the defense-tech capital wave
~8 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
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India — the swing power: DPI template, semiconductor build, Russian oil, and the US critical-minerals tilt
~6 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
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Russia as energy, nuclear-fuel & Arctic chokepoint — shadow fleet, Rosatom/HALEU, and the Northern Sea Route
~7 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
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Taiwan & TSMC — the silicon shield: the master compute chokepoint the entire AI thesis rests on
~11 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
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Influence & identity (7)
Advertising coordination + content-moderation-via-infrastructure (collective action as censorship/liability lever)
~13 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
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Chinese tech cross-ownership in Western media/games/tech + CCP influence vectors
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Congress as a funding/compromise surface — committees of jurisdiction, non-linear bill flow, and the documented money-and-leverage map (FEC / STOCK Act / LDA / Federal Register)
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Congressional nexus - House Financial Services Committee, industry money, and foreign-influence VECTORS (graded)
~5 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
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Meta / Facebook / Instagram: Child-Safety & Online-Harms — Litigation and Policy Record
~52 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
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The operator-network — the recurring people across AI, defense, crypto, digital-ID, and now the state (not one cabal)
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Tony Blair Institute / Ellison(Oracle) -> UK digital-ID -> Oracle infrastructure: the AI-core <-> digital-ID bridge
~17 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
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Macro · banking · commodities · data integrity (40)
The datacenter water, siting & ratepayer chokepoints — and the orbital-datacenter escape
~7 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
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The AI power & grid bottleneck — transformers, turbines, interconnection, and the fuel behind it
~17 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
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Bank securities marks under zero-trust scrutiny - HTM 'held to par' is a self-reported solvency choice, not a market price
~8 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
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Yen (and developing EUR/CHF) reverse carry trade - the deleveraging trigger
~5 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
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Consumer and auto ABS and subprime - the household-credit tail, and the collateral-fraud failure mode (Tricolor, First Brands)
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US CRE Distress, the NDFI/Private-Credit Boom, and the AI-Datacenter Financing Bridge
~44 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
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Credit unions, up close - the per-CU tail, CRE/MBL concentration, the 2025 failure cluster, and the corporate-CU settlement backbone (NCUA, not FDIC)
~0 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
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Critical-minerals supply-response equities — the allied answer to the China rare-earth + antimony chokepoint (MP, PPTA, UAMY, Ucore, and the cohort)
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Critical minerals / rare earths - the physical bottleneck under AI + defense, and the state-capitalism circularity
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Cross-sectional analysis of the bond/credit, bank, and funding-graph cross-sections (data behind docs/charts.html#xsec)
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The CRQC / quantum-advantage landscape - claims, the Q-Day clock, national programs, and the counter-migration
~23 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
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Family offices and the Archegos lesson - ~$3.1T of unregistered, swap-hidden leverage whose disclosure fix was withdrawn
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The Farm Credit System - a ~$544B agricultural GSE off the FDIC map, on a plateauing farmland collateral base into a farm-income downturn
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FDIC Aggregate US Banking Industry Time Series (all FDIC-insured institutions)
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Fintech, Banking-as-a-Service and neobanks - the Synapse collapse and the 'FDIC-insured' ledger trap
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First Brands collapse + UBS/O'Connor: the off-balance-sheet private-credit canary
~11 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
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Foreign-bank US branches & agencies (~$3T+) - the FBO dollar-funding node, the yen-carry channel, and the IHC ring-fence gap
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Futures vs physical across exchanges over time - where the paper price and the deliverable metal/barrel diverge (COMEX/CME, LBMA, LME, SHFE/SGE, DGCX)
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Gig / contingent labor - the precarity buffer the jobs headline obscures, and how it distorts the labor statistics
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GSEs and the FHLB system - an ~$11T quasi-sovereign housing-finance pool outside the FDIC lens
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Hidden, off-book and contingent sovereign debt - China's undisclosed lending, infrastructure liens as coercive leverage, and the US/global off-balance-sheet stack
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Historical bubble analogues, post-2008 deregulation chain, and market-manipulation enforcement
~12 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
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Industrial loan companies (ILCs), enumerated - the FDIC-insured/Fed-unsupervised charter, its commercial parents, and the 2025-26 approval wave
~0 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
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Jobs, inflation, and the Fed vs the bond market - the dual-mandate test (data behind docs/charts.html)
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Money market funds (~$7.9T) - the constant-NAV run vehicle that the bank lens misses, and the stablecoin analogy
~0 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
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Mortgage REITs and REITs - the levered, repo-funded MBS holder that already fire-sold in 2020
~0 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
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Municipal and public finance - the ~$4.2T public-balance-sheet tail where CRE, pensions and federal cuts converge
~0 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
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Official US macro-statistics under zero-trust scrutiny - methodology bias, late revisions, collection degradation, politicization, and the fiscal incentive to mismeasure
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Oil geopolitics + precious-metals backwardation (the physical-market stress signal)
~12 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
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Pensions and LDI - the retirement balance sheet inside private markets, and the UK 2022 doom-loop precedent
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Post-quantum cryptography (PQC) chips - SEALSQ/WISeKey vs incumbents; the stacked-narrative microcap pattern
~13 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
~13 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
Private credit / BDC stress signals - the public-price vs private-mark gap, PIK income, redemption gates, and the bank-to-NDFI chain
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Private credit under zero-trust - manager-marked NAVs ('mark-to-myth'), the AI-buildout's marginal lender, and the insurance/retail channel that absorbs the risk
~14 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
~14 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
Quantum-computing equities (IonQ + cohort) - the threat side of the quantum theme, and the narrative-beta split
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ALNRI analysis - market rents (Apartment List / Zillow / BLS New-Tenant) vs official CPI shelter: the ~1-year lag in CPI's largest component
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Stablecoin failures, algorithmic unwinds, reserve/collateral shenanigans (USD1, Tether), and market manipulation - the documented record
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The stablecoin -> Treasury deficit rail - a legislated, captive buyer for the front-end debt as foreign demand retreats into gold
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Hedge funds and the Treasury basis trade - leverage near record highs in the world's most important market
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Below-threshold & out-of-scope risk pools — credit unions, private credit/NDFIs, ILCs, the Farm Credit System, foreign-bank US branches, and the suppressed FDIC problem-bank total
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The US fiscal trap — interest now exceeds defense, and why it is the macro root of the control thesis
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Regulatory · crypto · surveillance overlays (102)
'Foreign influence in the campaign against American AI' — the Bitcoin Policy Institute's Singham/PSL data-center thesis (documented network vs directed-campaign claim, dated)
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International alignment matrix — overlapping/rival bloc memberships and the multi-alignment (hedging) trend (documented, dated)
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The Americas + Sahel batch — Brazil, Mexico, Canada, Venezuela, Argentina, Chile, Colombia + the Sahel coup belt (AES: Burkina Faso/Mali/Niger) (both sides, dated)
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Anomalous deaths & disappearances of figures in strategically sensitive domains (Russian energy/finance executives; nuclear scientists; Chinese defense-tech researchers; aerospace whistleblowers; crypto figures)
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Antarctica — the Treaty regime, the frozen claims, the mining ban, and the creeping resource/base competition (both sides, dated)
~5 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
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Arbitration & ADR — the private/quasi-judicial dispute-resolution layer: US providers, forced-arbitration political economy, international commercial + investor-state (ISDS), per-state/religious/tribal, and on-chain (documented vs contested, dated)
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The Arctic — the resource race, the Northern Sea Route, Greenland, and the militarization (both sides, dated)
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Asbestos — the foundational mass tort, the §524(g) bankruptcy-trust template, the asbestos↔talc convergence, and the contested double-dipping / EPA-ban fights
~7 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
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Asian crypto & stablecoin payment ecosystems — Japan, South Korea, Singapore, Philippines, Indonesia: competing rails, currency-sovereignty vs dollar stablecoins, the escape from payment-processor control, and keiretsu/chaebol involvement
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Australia — AUKUS, the critical-minerals pivot, the iron-ore China dependence, the $4T super pool, and the PsiQuantum quantum bet
~5 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
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Auto-credit unwind — First Brands/UBS/Jefferies, Tricolor/JPMorgan, Carvana/DriveTime/Garcia, and the subprime auto-loan stress (both sides, dated)
~5 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
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Auto political influence + labor — UAW, the dealer-franchise lobby, IRA EV credits, CAFE rules, and the 2009 bailout legacy (both sides, dated)
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Auto industry vs Right to Repair — the Massachusetts telematics law, the cyber/safety strawman, the REPAIR Act, and Rossmann's rebuttal (both sides, dated)
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BlackRock & Aladdin — the asset-manager-of-everything: one risk engine over ~$25T, a $220B private-credit franchise, the AI-datacentre vehicle, and the bitcoin ETF
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The blockchain ecosystem — the foundations, the infrastructure chokepoints, the Ripple/XRPL roll-up, and the post-quantum fault line
~6 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
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Boeing 737 MAX — MCAS, the FAA self-certification capture, and the DPA→breach→non-prosecution escape (both sides, dated)
~6 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
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BRICS+ — the expanded bloc, the New Development Bank, BRICS Pay / the gold-backed Unit, and the de-dollarization drive (with its internal contradictions)
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Scam-compound complex, FARA reputation-laundering, and a paid-disinformation offer to an influencer (Prince Group/Huione/Kok An; Yim Leak; National Consulting Services; Mezink/Ryan Kelly)
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Camp Lejeune water contamination — the CLJA, the ATSDR science, the claims backlog, and the mass-tort advertising economy (both sides, dated)
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Financial and advertiser deplatforming: payment-network content control, ad-boycott alliances (GARM), and content-moderation NGOs (CCDH)
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China's AI stack beyond DeepSeek — the full domestic LLM field, the Huawei Ascend hardware push, and the built-in state-alignment / censorship layer
~6 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
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China EV ecosystem + the EV transition — BYD/NIO/XPeng/Xiaomi, CATL batteries, the price war + tariff fight, and AV/robotaxi (both sides, dated)
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China — the party-state deep structure: the CCP/Xi vertical, SASAC central SOEs, military-civil fusion, the LGFV debt mountain, the PBoC/CIPS yuan rail, and the big-tech crackdown cycle
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The CLARITY Act fight (H.R. 3633) — crypto market-structure legislation vs the illicit-finance / AML coalition (both sides graded)
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Competing infrastructure corridors — BRI vs IMEC vs PGII/Lobito vs Global Gateway vs INSTC vs Middle Corridor (overlaps & inconsistencies, dated)
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Cross-border settlement rails — the dollar-bypass stack (CIPS, Project mBridge, e-CNY, BRICS Pay) vs the dollar-extension rail (USD stablecoins/SWIFT), and the reality of de-dollarization
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Cross River Bank — the fintech sponsor-bank's documented crypto rails vs the 'hidden internal rails' claim (graded, dated)
~6 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
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Cross-system contagion & interconnection map - the transmission channels that link the otherwise-siloed bubbles (crypto<->Treasury<->banks<->AI marks; yen carry<->AI core; chip<->private credit; China leverage; the Fed circuit-breaker)
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Operation Chokepoint 2.0, regulation-by-enforcement asymmetry, and the crypto-bank failure nodes (FDIC/OCC/Fed/Treasury pause letters; FTX/Silvergate/Signature/SVB/Flagstar; SEC Corp Fin)
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~0 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
The 2022 crypto collapse cascade — Terra/LUNA -> 3AC -> Celsius/Voyager/BlockFi -> Genesis/DCG -> FTX/Alameda, the founders, and the prosecutions
~5 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
~5 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
The war on crypto — the enforcement actors: Gensler, Hinman, Clayton, Damian Williams, Warren, the privacy-tool prosecutions, Choke Point 2.0, and the 2025 reversal (NEUTRAL, graded)
~8 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
~8 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
The crypto/blockchain legislation logjam — how delay is engineered, and the legitimate, legal mechanisms to force progress
~0 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
~0 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
Crypto market-makers & political money — Jump/Terra, the Jane Street pedigree, the liquidity layer, and the Fairshake super-PAC machine
~5 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
~5 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
SPECULATIVE OVERLAY - crypto/SEC regulatory-capture + Epstein-finance threads
~10 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
~10 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
The defense primes — Lockheed Martin, RTX/Raytheon, Leonardo S.p.A. vs Leonardo DRS, the FCPA/bribery record, the ELSAG surveillance arm, and the QRL/XMSS post-quantum patent thread
~6 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
~6 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
Dialog — the Thiel/Hoffman private invitation-only elite forum ('Bilderberg meets Silicon Valley'), its operating entity, membership machinery, AI member-dossiers, and the June-2026 leak (documented vs claimed, dated)
~11 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
~11 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
Disability healthcare access & the insurance value-extraction stack — is insurance a scam? (the actuarial core vs the operations layer where the extraction actually lives)
~0 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
~0 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
Disclosures & surveillance overlay - Twitter Files/jawboning, Snowden, the intel-community<->tech/crypto nexus, Epstein records, offshore leaks (evidence-graded)
~25 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
~25 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
East Asia — the chaebol & zaibatsu/keiretsu conglomerate concentration, the Japanese & South Korean political systems, the Japan-South Africa apartheid link, and the Kabukicho social-harm cluster
~7 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
~7 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
Consumer-electronics parts-pairing — Apple, Samsung, Google, Microsoft, and the 'security' lockout (both sides, dated)
~6 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
~6 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
Environmental/public-health disaster batch — 9/11 VCF (Zadroga), Flint water, East Palestine: three mass-harm compensation mechanisms (both sides, dated)
~6 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
~6 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
Epstein document corpus — an AUTHENTICITY / provenance grading layer (treating forgery as a first-class variable)
~0 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
~0 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
EU automakers + luxury — VW Group, BMW, Mercedes, Renault, Stellantis-EU, JLR/Tata, Volvo/Geely, Ferrari/Aston/Lambo/Bentley/Bugatti (ownership webs, dated)
~6 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
~6 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
International exchanges + Asian/Gulf-tech cluster - Mt. Gox, Binance (CZ pardon + USD1/MGX), SBI/Rakuten, Ant/Alibaba, Tencent/WeChat, ByteDance/TikTok
~27 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
~27 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
Farm-equipment right to repair — John Deere, the FTC monopoly suit, the $99M class settlement, the Farm Bureau MOU, and the ag-financing debt cycle (both sides, dated)
~6 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
~6 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
FDIC accountability — the Coinbase/History Associates FOIA fight, the court-found disclosure violation, and the 'pause letter' campaign (with social-claim caveats)
~0 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
~0 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
Comparative foreign-influence channels in the US (and allies), and the perception-vs-reality narrative layer (FARA spending; lobbying; campaign finance; institutional funding; influence/cyber ops)
~0 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
~0 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
Foundry Networks → Brocade → Broadcom — the pre-cloud router/switch lineage and where the IP went (dated)
~4 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
~4 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
GlobalFoundries (GFS) — the AMD spinout, Mubadala ownership, the 7nm retreat + IBM suit, CHIPS money, and the DoD 'trusted foundry' (both sides, dated)
~5 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
~5 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
India — the multi-aligned keystone: BRICS-chair + Quad + IMEC + Russian oil + US trade deal + China thaw, the Adani case, and the UPI/Aadhaar digital-public-infrastructure
~6 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
~6 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
The insurance / Bermuda-reinsurance endpoint - where the self-marked private credit risk finally lands, and the offshore captive structure that hides it
~11 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
~11 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
Iran — the IRGC/bonyad economy, the oil-to-China shadow-fleet lifeline, the degraded Axis of Resistance, and the post-strike nuclear program
~6 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
~6 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
Japan + South Korea automakers — Toyota's hybrid bet + the cert-fraud scandals, the collapsed Honda-Nissan merger, and Hyundai/Kia (both sides, dated)
~6 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
~6 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
Japan — political fragmentation, foreign-linked influence, the demographic crunch, youth in crisis, and free-expression politics
~0 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
~0 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
J&J talc + the 'Texas two-step' — the corporate liability-engineering playbook (and the courts that keep rejecting it)
~5 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
~5 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
Re-reading the corpus under the strategic lenses — genuine block-by-block findings + gap backlog
~0 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
~0 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
The local / uncensored / decentralized AI counter-ecosystem — open-weight runtimes, abliteration tooling, and crypto-compute as the answer to both Big-AI centralization and state censorship
~7 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
~7 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
Manufactured division — how public opinion is steered toward group hatred (antisemitism, anti-Palestinian, anti-Asian/anti-Chinese) and contested social fault lines (Japan: KuToo, Toyoko Kids, free-speech politics)
~0 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
~0 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
The market-plumbing & settlement control stack — who actually owns, clears, executes, custodies, and is re-platforming the world's assets
~0 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
~0 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
McDonald's ice-cream machines — Taylor, Kytch, the 'repair racket' allegation, and the §1201 food-equipment exemption (both sides, dated)
~6 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
~6 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
Meta AI chatbots & child safety — the internal 'romantic-with-minors' content standard, the contractors hired to pose as teens to red-team the bots, and the Scale AI / Outlier / Alignerr labor loop (documented vs framing, dated)
~27 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
~27 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
SPECULATIVE OVERLAY (expanded) - super-connectors, the IC/VC pipeline, and the control-layer hypothesis
~9 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
~9 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
Networking & security industry — Cisco/Juniper/Arista/HPE + Palo Alto/Cloudflare/Fortinet/Zscaler/F5/CrowdStrike: consolidation, chokepoint power, and the 2024-26 incidents (both sides, dated)
~6 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
~6 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
On-chain address tracking - threat actors, state actors, sanctioned entities, and government-seized wallets (OFAC SDN / FBI PSAs / Treasury / chain-forensics)
~0 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
~0 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
OPEC / OPEC+ — the Saudi-Russia axis, the 2025 production-unwind to market share, US shale, and the petrodollar (both sides, dated; a myth corrected)
~6 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
~6 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
Open-source lawfare + the 3D-printer code dispute — Bambu Lab's authorization firmware, Stratasys v. Bambu patents, and the FUTO 'source-available' question (both sides, dated; framing corrected)
~6 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
~6 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
The opioid crisis — Purdue/Sacklers, the Big Three distributors, J&J, the SCOTUS ruling, and the settlement economy
~5 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
~5 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
PFAS 'forever chemicals' — 3M/DuPont/Chemours, the AFFF water settlements, the decades of suppressed knowledge, the chipmaking dependency, and the 2025-26 EPA rollback
~7 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
~7 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
Planet Labs & the commercial space-imaging / Earth-observation industry — operators, the NRO/NGA demand side, launch, and the 2025-26 consolidation (documented, dated)
~17 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
~17 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
Prediction markets — Polymarket / Kalshi: the CFTC accommodation, the ICE / Trump-family / a16z capital, election-integrity & insider concerns, and the reflexivity problem
~0 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
~0 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
Quantum computing — the full competitive landscape: modalities, the public pure-plays, the big-tech programs, and the US/China/EU/India/Japan race
~10 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
~10 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
Rare-earth statecraft — China's on/off export 'faucet', predatory pricing, the allied supply-response cohort (Tanbreez/Ucore/MP/REalloys), and the knowledge-transfer question
~0 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
~0 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
When verification costs more than production: the reproducibility crisis, AI eval-gaming, and the integrity floods drowning science, open source, and security
~0 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
~0 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
Research-security & technology-transfer — the China Scholarship Council instrument, the West's posture (and its own overreach), and the entity-level entanglement that turns 'dependency' toward 'structural capture'
~0 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
~0 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
Right to Repair — the movement, the DMCA §1201 barrier, parts-pairing, the state/EU law wave, and the manufacturer counter (both sides, dated)
~6 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
~6 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
Ripple/XRP and the TradFi rails — the documented core, the SEC outcome, Hidden Road/Ripple Prime, and the ISO 20022 / SWIFT / JPM / BIS / IMF / World Bank claims (documented vs rumored, dated)
~6 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
~6 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
Roundup / glyphosate mass tort — Bayer-Monsanto, the IARC-vs-EPA science split, the 2026 SCOTUS preemption win, and the state liability shields (both sides, dated)
~6 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
~6 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
Russia — the silovik state: Putin's power vertical, the energy champions, the shadow fleet, Wagner->Africa Corps, the GRU/SVR/FSB triad, and the gold drawdown
~6 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
~6 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
SDNY/DOJ crypto-privacy prosecution practices — Samourai, Roman Storm/Tornado Cash, Pertsev, and the broader money-transmitter/developer-liability pattern (NEUTRAL, graded)
~0 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
~0 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
The Southeast Asia scam-compound & transnational-crime nexus — Cambodia (Prince Group/Chen Zhi), Myanmar (KK Park), Laos (Golden Triangle), the Philippines (POGOs), and the Huione/Tether laundering rail
~7 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
~7 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
SEC filings, primary-source pass - the circular-funding thesis in the companies' OWN risk factors and financials (EDGAR)
~15 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
~15 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
SPECULATIVE OVERLAY II - SEC / SDNY / FDIC crypto regulatory-capture, FOIA disclosures, and the Ripple-timing question (evidence-graded)
~34 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
~34 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
Seed intellectual property + the corn complex — Bayer/Monsanto, the Big-4 consolidation, Bowman v. Monsanto, subsidies/ethanol, and the seed-saving fight (both sides; myths corrected; dated)
~6 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
~6 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
The physical substrate — semiconductor supply chain, global logistics/shipping, and the standards-setting bodies that govern them
~6 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
~6 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
Singapore — the hedge-state financial hub: GIC/Temasek, MAS crypto, PSA transshipment, the S$3B laundering bust, and Chinese wealth inflows (both sides, dated)
~5 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
~5 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
Stellar/XLM, Jed McCaleb, and the 'tacostand' XRP sell-down — the Ripple fork lineage and the settlement wallet (documented, dated)
~5 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
~5 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
Strategic reading lenses — Sun Tzu's Art of War, the OSS/CIA Simple Sabotage Field Manual, and Confucius's Analects (esp. 12.7 & 13.3) — and the 'let rivals rise to erode the incumbent' long game
~0 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
~0 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
String of Pearls — China's Indian-Ocean port/base network, the framing dispute, and the Hambantota 'debt-trap' correction (both sides, dated)
~5 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
~5 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
The 2025-26 identity-theft supply-chain wave: Shai-Hulud npm worms, Team PCP (UNC6780), the Scattered LAPSUS$ Hunters extortion alliance, and the Nightmare-Eclipse grudge
~11 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
~11 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
The surveillance & cyber-threat layer — state APTs, the CALEA backdoor paradox, commercial spyware, ransomware-as-a-service, and the private surveillance complex
~6 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
~6 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
US telecom carriers — the Big-3 + MVNOs, FirstNet/secure-gov networking, crypto-payable carriers, and the Salt Typhoon wiretap breach (both sides, dated)
~6 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
~6 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
Telecom + satellite/ground-station + TV-network layer - the connectivity rail that carries identity, payments, AI backhaul AND surveillance
~23 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
~23 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
Car-insurance telematics / surveillance pricing — UBI apps, the covert automaker→LexisNexis/Verisk→insurer data pipeline, FTC v. GM, and Arity's phone-SDK tracking (both sides, dated)
~6 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
~6 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
Tobacco Master Settlement Agreement (1998) — the $206B template, tobacco bonds, and the state-tobacco symbiosis (both sides, dated)
~6 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
~6 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
Tornado Cash & Samourai Wallet - privacy-tool prosecutions, developer liability, the code-is-speech axis (evidence-graded)
~20 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
~20 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
UK Labour government, the Tony Blair Institute, and the donor/advisory network around them (Starmer's digital-ID drive; TBI/Ellison/Oracle; foreign-government clients; party donors; the Chinese mega-embassy)
~0 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
~0 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
Ukraine — the war economy: the US minerals/reconstruction fund, $300B+ Western aid, the drone-industry boom, and the Operation Midas corruption scandal
~6 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
~6 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
The attribution layer: how UNC#### clusters graduate, and where North Korea's financially-motivated state hacking fits
~7 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
~7 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
On the timing of a violent unwind - what is CERTAIN, what is fundamentally UNCERTAIN, and what is OBSERVABLE
~0 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
~0 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
US automakers — Ford, GM, Stellantis, Tesla, Rivian, Lucid: EV losses, Cruise wind-down, the VW/Amazon/PIF backers, and NACS (both sides, dated)
~6 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
~6 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
Vitalik Buterin's intellectual corpus - the through-lines, and how they extend (and are extended by) this project's threads
~15 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
~15 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
XRP ARG / meme / imagery epistemics — a graded catalog of the lore and the method for not being fooled (signal vs red-herring)
~5 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
~5 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
Thematic (7)
Altcoin lens - real-utility vs narrative-beta, mapped to threads
~0 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
~0 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
Blockchain leg - policy-capture loop + stablecoin deficit rail
~4 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
~4 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
Metals & Energy Complex: AI-Demand Signal vs. Macro-Stress Signal
~37 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
~37 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
Defense leg - primes + defense-tech x the rare-earth chokepoint
~13 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
~13 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
Energy/power leg - the AI+defense power bottleneck, nuclear/SMR PPAs, turbine wall, Russia enrichment chokepoint
~10 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
~10 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
SEC EDGAR primary-source figures for the AI-capex cluster
~21 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)
~21 source links · read on site · data (.json) · write-up (.md)