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SEC EDGAR Primary-Source Figures — AI-Capex Cluster

Generated 2026-06-06. Primary EDGAR XBRL/filing pulls. Numbers below marked [primary] are filing-derived; [press/knowledge] are clearly flagged fills.

EDGAR XBRL pattern: https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyconcept/CIK{cik}/us-gaap/{concept}.json

CompanyMetricValuePeriodSource basis
NVIDIA (CIK 1045810)Revenue$215.9BFY2026 (end 2026-01-25)[primary] us-gaap:Revenues
NVIDIANet income$120.1B (~56% margin)FY2026[primary] NetIncomeLoss
NVIDIACapex$6.04B (~3% of rev)FY2026[primary] PaymentsToAcquireProductiveAssets
NVIDIACustomer concentration2 direct customers each >25%FY2026[primary] 10-K text
Microsoft (789019)RPO$631BQ2 FY26 (2025-12-31)[primary] RevenueRemainingPerformanceObligation
MicrosoftCapex (P&E, excl. leases)$64.55B (FY24 $44.48B)FY2025[primary] 8-K ex99
MicrosoftOpenAI equity-method loss$3.1B / $0.41 EPS (yr-ago $523M/$0.07)Q1 FY26[primary] 8-K ex99
Oracle (1341439, now TX)RPO$552.6B (was $130.2B)Q3 FY26[primary] 10-Q
OracleRPO due within 12 mo~12% onlyQ3 FY26[primary] 10-Q
OracleTotal borrowings$134.6B (was $92.6B FY25)Q3 FY26[primary] 10-Q balance sheet
OracleNew bond issuance~$44B+FY26[primary] cash-flow/financing
Alphabet (1652044)RPO$467.6BFY2025[primary] RevenueRemainingPerformanceObligation
CoreWeave (1769628)Backlog$66.8B (Q3 $55.6B; RPO tag ~$98.8B)Dec 2025[primary, w/ caveat]
Amazon (1018724)AWS RPOlow–mid $200B (unresolved)FY2025[press] tag switched, not primary-verified
Hyperscaler aggregateCapex~$400B (2025) → ~$500–650B (2026 guide)CY[press/guidance]

The depreciation lever (synchronized, earnings-flattering)

All four hyperscalers extended server/GPU useful lives 2023–2025, which lowers annual depreciation and inflates reported operating income now:

This is a key "hidden earnings" mechanism: Blackwell-era GPUs plausibly obsolesce in 3–4 years of frontier training duty, yet are being depreciated over 5–6. If real economic life is shorter than book life, current earnings are overstated and a depreciation/impairment cliff is deferred, not avoided.

SpaceX IPO ("SPCX") status

No S-1 / DRS / registration for "Space Exploration Technologies" exists in EDGAR as of 2026-06-06. SpaceX is not yet a public filer. This is consistent with a confidential draft registration (DRS) ahead of an imminent pricing (confidential DRS is not visible on EDGAR until ~15 days pre-roadshow). All SpaceX IPO valuation/structure figures circulating are press-reported, not filed — treat as such until the S-1 is public.

Structural read: NVIDIA earns $120B net on $6B capex; its customers (MSFT, ORCL, GOOGL, AMZN, META, CoreWeave) carry $1.6T+ of combined RPO and are levering up (Oracle +$42B debt in a year) to fund the buildout that becomes NVIDIA's revenue. The capital intensity, the debt, and the back-loaded promises sit downstream of the chip vendor. That asymmetry is the engine the formal model will quantify.

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